في هذا البحث, نقارن ثلاثة طرق نمذجة أهداف مباريات كرة القدم مع الأخذ بعين الاعتبار الأداء المتنبئ به اعتمادا على جميع المباريات في كؤوس الفيفا الأربعة السابقة 2002--2014: نماذج الانحدار بواسون, طرق الغابات العشوائية, وطرق الترتيب.
In this work, we compare three different modeling approaches for the scores of soccer matches with regard to their predictive performances based on all matches from the four previous FIFA World Cups 2002 – 2014: Poisson regression models, random
forests and ranking methods.
المراجع المستخدمة
Groll, A., G. Schauberger, and G. Tutz (2015): “Prediction of major international soccer tournaments based on team-specific regularized Poisson regression: an application to the FIFA World Cup 2014,” Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 11, 97–115.
Groll, A., T. Kneib, A. Mayr, and G. Schauberger (2018): “On the dependency of soccer scores – A sparse bivariate Poisson model for the UEFA European Football Championship 2016,” Statistical Modelling, to appear.
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